【CCTV News】朱宁副院长解读房地产业外商投资下降相关经济数据

发布时间：2012-07-26

浏览次数：5515次

编者按：2012年7月17日，我院朱宁副院长做客中央电视台英语新闻频道《China 24》节目，解读房地产业外商投资下降相关经济数据。

Q: Now for more on the Ministry of Commerce press conference and the Chinese economy at large, we are joined in the studio by Professor Zhu Ning. He is Deputy Director at the Advanced Institute of Finance at Shanghai Jiao Tong University. Let’s take a look at the numbers again. Foreign Direct Investment in the property sector fell 12.4% in the first half of the year. Strip that out of the aggregate data and FDI was down just a tenth of a percentage point. So it’s really just the property sector, we are talking about here?

A: I think it’s a little bit both I think. Of course, if you take the property sector, the numbers will be looking much nicer. But I think it is important to keep things in the prospective because the FDI has been increasing steadily over the past several years, and now we are seeing an even minor dip is reflective of some change of mind or change of some confidence in Chinese economy going forward.

Q: The IMF just cut its world growth forecast for the year to 3.5%, citing fears of a worsening Euro debt crisis AND a lower than expected growth momentum from emerging economies like China. Is this too much bad news externally for China and is Beijing doing anything different to break out of the cycle to make something different here?

A: I think the external economic condition is becoming severe, especial given that the Euro Zone crisis or the Euro crisis is remaining large and un-resolved. I think it will be a few more months to go before we can see any clear picture down on the end of the horizon. Domestically I think China is trying very hard to push out a series of measures to push the economy. I think apart from the regular monitory and fiscal policies. I think the Chinese government is trying to reform the taxation system, so that they can give back more expenditure or expendable incomes to back to the population, so that the domestic consumption could sooner rather than later come to replace the Chinese economy’s reliance on the external demand.

Q: As we all know that the small and medium sized businesses are the major driver of Chinese economy. We are hearing also that the government is possibly going to introduce financial A or maybe some tax breaks. If you were the opposite leader right now, what would you say they need to do? What is the one thing you think they need do? Not just SMEs, but to really restore some confidence to really get these numbers back on track.

A: This is a tough question. Because I think we all know what has happened in 2009, back then, we pushed out a series of very very aggressive stimulus packages and to the economy would have to take the consequence of that. So right at the moment, I think the economy would still be paying more attention to how to better and probably not necessary fast to reform the economic growth from the external to internal or the domestic consumption. So trying to improve the infrastructure to make people feel safe, and trying to spend more money. I think that’s the ultimate way of stimulating Chinese economy in the long run.

【CCTV News】朱宁副院长解读房地产业外商投资下降相关经济数据

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